@MattyChucks' Chargers @ Chiefs TNF Preview, Picks & Same Game Parlay - 9/15

Matty Chucks | @MattyChucks

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We have a fantastic Thursday Night Football game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs. We will see two of the top young quarterbacks in the NFL square off in a huge divisional matchup. Both teams are 1-0 heading into this game and whoever wins will get a huge advantage in the divisional standings with a victory.

Matty's TNF Breakdown

This game does have its fair share of injuries. Keenan Allen is OUT with a hamstring injury and that will sting on the offensive side of the ball, but they have enough weapons to be able to still produce and J.C. Jackson is questionable on the defensive side of things for the Chargers. He will be a game time decision and it will be a decent blow as well if he is out. For the Chiefs, everyone looks healthy besides some minor aches and pains. However, Harrison Butker is OUT with an ankle injury.

This may not seem important, but that changes the whole game script for the Chiefs. If it is 4th and short at the 33 yard line I am not sure that Andy Reid will turn to the practice squad kicker Matt Amendola for a 50 yard field goal in a divisional game early in the season. This may lead to more 4th down attempts from Mahomes & Co. which will either help run the score up, or they will pay the price and get stopped and turn the ball over without scoring.

This makes me like Matt Amendola over 2.5 extra points made (-125) on MGM. I think that the Chiefs do score 3 touchdowns in this game and if they do he should get this. I think there is value on this as well as Chiefs over 3.5 TD’s is the same price at -125. I won’t trust this guy with a 50 yarder, but I will take him to chip the extra points nice and easy.

Matty's Picks

This makes me like Matt Amendola over 2.5 extra points made (-125) on MGM. I think that the Chiefs do score 3 touchdowns in this game and if they do he should get this. I think there is value on this as well as Chiefs over 3.5 TD’s is the same price at -125. I won’t trust this guy with a 50 yarder, but I will take him to chip the extra points nice and easy.

The other player prop I like is Travis Kelce over 6.5 receptions at -125 on MGM. This line is -145 or higher on most other books. Since Tyreek Hill is gone, Kelce is really the only guy Mahomes can trust when he needs to. This 4 point spread obviously indicates a close game and I think in these games Mahomes will turn to his safety net in Travis Kelce. In week 1 Kelce had 8 catches on 9 targets for 121 yards and a TD. He has also had 10,7,9 catches vs the Chargers since 2020 which was Herbert’s rookie season. I think he will be the go to guy in every aspect of the game and if I am right about them going for it on 4th down more, it opens up more opportunities for the big man.

Matty's Pick #1

betmgm

MATT AMENDOLA OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE @ -125

Matty's Pick #2

betmgm

TRAVIS KELCE OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS @ -125

Now, it is time for the fun stuff! Here is my SGP for the game! +1150 below!

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Exclusively to IL, KS & LA only
Rams

LAR

+300

o52.5

49ers

SF

-455

u52.5

NFL | Tue 10/04, 12:15 AM
Colts

IND

-105

o43.5

Broncos

DEN

-115

u43.5

NFL | Fri 10/07, 12:15 AM
Giants

NYG

-110

o41.5

Packers

GB

-110

u41.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 1:30 PM
Bears

CHI

-115

o42.5

Vikings

MIN

-105

u42.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM
Chargers

LAC

-115

o48.5

Browns

CLE

-105

u48.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM
Dolphins

MIA

-110

o44.5

Jets

NYJ

-110

u44.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM
Seahawks

SEA

-110

o43.5

Saints

NO

-110

u43.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM
Steelers

PIT

-110

o47.5

Bills

BUF

-110

u47.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM
Texans

HOU

-105

o44.5

Jaguars

JAX

-115

u44.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM
Titans

TEN

-105

o42.5

Commanders

WAS

-115

u42.5

NFL | Sun 10/09, 5:00 PM

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