$FML's Best Bet - 11/9

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Frank Vatrano vs Minnesota Wild

This is -125 at Draftkings, -128 FanDuel and -132 Caesars. I’d honestly still take those odds but prefer +100 at Barstool for 1 unit.

The former Florida Panther and New York Ranger cleared this in 9 of 13 (69%) games so far since joining Anaheim. All four misses came on the road, and tonight they’re home. This continues a home/road split trend that’s persisted throughout his career. Since 2019, he averages 2.72 at home vs. 2.32 on the road. This year, those numbers are 3.75 vs. 3.00.

It’s also worth noting that tonight’s opponent Minnesota just played last night, and their best player (Kirill “The Thrill” Kaprizov) was ejected with a match penalty. This type of penalty is rare and comes with an automatic suspension pending league review. Assuming he’s out tonight (not yet confirmed), it should even the playing field for Vatrano and the Ducks.

If and when Kaprizov’s suspension is confirmed, I may tack on Matt Boldy’s shot prop. He would become Minnesota’s primary shooting threat if Kaprizov were to miss time. Till then — let’s lock in Vatrano at +100 (or any number down to -130).

$FML's Best Bet

The Pick: Frank Vatrano over 2.5 Shots (+100) vs. Minnesota

odds available Barstool Sportsbook, Bet Rivers and Sugar House

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