What a beautiful sight to wake up to today. 13 NHL games, and some incredible matchups of top teams. As usual, I have a point parlay to celebrate the big slate.
@RyanPropz +106 NHL Thursday Parlay - 3/10
Tampa Bay Lightning (37-13-6) @ Calgary Flames (34-15-7)
I’ll lead off by giving the Lightning their credit. They are a terrific team with a great goaltender, but I found enough information to lead me to love this leg regardless. Elias Lindholm, a frequent friend to my articles, will be making another appearance. He is too consistent to overlook here, and the Lightning have been a bit looser lately on the road. Elias now has at least a point in 14 straight home games with 21 total points in that span. He has recorded a point in 22/26 in Calgary, an incredible 85%. As for Tampa, their star goalie Vasilevskiy is anticipated to man the net tonight. He is enjoying yet another nice season, however there is a regression trend I noticed as this season has gone on. He allowed a season high 2.60 goals per game in Feb (5 starts), and has allowed 3.55 in 4 March starts. His road splits are also in our favor as he lets in 2.83 goals on the road compared to 2.03 at home. With Lindholm’s season-long dominance and Tampa’s recent defensive struggles, I love this as the first leg to the parlay.
Winnipeg Jets (25-22-10) @ New Jersey Devils (21-31-5)
Kyle Connor is tied for 13th in the NHL in points, so I am shocked that it has taken me this long to include him in an article. Kyle has 64 points in 57 games this season, and gets a bit more consistent on the road where he has 37 points in 29 games. A few other attractive trends are that he has a point in 16 of his last 19 road games, and 8 of his last 10 overall. Tonight he faces the Devils, and I am sure he is licking his chops as he chases Auston Matthews for the league leader in goals. The Devils have allowed the 5th most goals in the league at home (4.0) over the last 10 games. Nico Daws is projected to be in net tonight for the Devils after allowing 12 goals in his four February starts. This is a great spot for Kyle to continue his terrific season (and not a bad idea to sprinkle him to score at +132, but we will just take a point!).