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Luton vs Brentford Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

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Luton vs Brentford Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Location: Kenilworth Road

Date: 20/04/24

Kick-off: 15:00 pm
The weekend’s Premier League fixtures are almost certain to be focused on the relegation picture as the final weeks of the campaign approaches. Luton Town will be hoping that their Premier League story embarks on another chapter as they host a Brentford side who are all but assured of their Premier League status for another season.
Luton Town are well within the battle to avoid relegation with five games to go, with many expecting them to perhaps be relegated at this stage of the season. The Hatters go into this game inside the bottom three after 33 games played and with an inferior goal difference to Nottingham Forest and Everton above them. A win over Brentford will move Rob Edwards' side above either Nottingham Forest or Everton because of those two teams being scheduled to face each other in the same weekend.

The Hatters are in the bottom three as mentioned, with 25 points from 33 games played – which averages at 0.75 points per game. The positive note for the home team is that they have scored more goals than the teams they are competing against. Luton Town have scored 46 goals this season, which is an average of 1.39 goals per game. The hosts have also scored 14 more goals than Everton and four more than Nottingham Forest.

Their defensive issues though have been concerning in relation to their current position in the league. The hosts have conceded 70 goals in 33 games this season-averaging 2.1 goals conceded per game. Luton Town currently has the second worst defensive record in the Premier League; only Sheffield United have a worse record in that regard.
It is worth noting that Luton Town have a particularly decent record when it comes to scoring late against their opposition. In their last three league games where they have obtained points, they recorded late goals against Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth, and Crystal Palace. Luton Town have scored 18 of their 46 goals this season in the last 15 minutes of regulation time.

The away side, Brentford, are on course to record another season in the topflight of English football, despite possibly being involved in the relegation battle earlier on this season. A win for Brentford would strengthen their position in the Premier League for next season and it will open an 11-point gap between the two teams in this game with four games to play.

Brentford’s season has been dampened with injuries, amongst other factors that has affected their form this season. Bryan Mbuemo and the long-term absence of Ivan Toney has given Thomas Frank issues but since their return, Brentford now look assured for another campaign comfortably safe from relegation.The Bees are currently 14th as it stands, with Crystal Palace two points behind with two games in hand. Crystal Palace play Liverpool as one of their remaining fixtures. If Brentford beat Luton Town at the weekend wouldn’t impact their league position as they are currently seven points behind Fulham.

Thomas Frank’s side have obtained 32 points from 33 games – which gives them an average of 0.9 points per games. Brentford has the advantage in his game when it comes to goals conceded having only conceded 12 less than their opposition.

Despite the absences of Toney and Mbeumo, the Bees have scored 47 goals in 33 games – which gives them an average of 1.4 goals scored per game. Most of Brentford’s goals have come between the 16th and 30th minute mark. Brentford have conceded 14 goals in the latter stages of games.

Defensively, Brentford as mentioned have conceded 58 goals this season and they currently have the joint fourth worst defence in the league. The Bees have conceded on average 1.75 goals per game.

Both Teams To Score

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Recent form

The recent history between the two teams suggests that Brentford will be the favourites at Kenilworth Road. Brentford have won four out of the last five league fixtures against the Hatters.
In the most recent league game this season, Brentford were 3-1 winners thanks to goals from Neil Maupay, Ben Mee and Shandon Baptiste. Interestingly, Baptiste was an unfortunate goal-scorer for Luton Town, the last time the hosts recorded a league victory over Brentford.

The hosts head into this important game on the back off one victory in their last five league games. Their most recent league win came against AFC Bournemouth where Carlton Morris left it late to secure all three points.
Luton Town’s home form could give them the advantage at the weekend. At Kenilworth Road, the Hatters have accumulated 15 points from their 25-point tally – averaging 0.94 points per game. Rob Edwards side are also unbeaten in their last two home games in the league.

Rob Edwards will be hoping for more start performances from former Everton midfielder Ross Barkley. Barkley, who could be playing in contention for a late spot at the Euros, has nine goal contributions in 28 games this season – averaging a goal contribution roughly once every three games.

Brentford have slightly better form heading into this game against Luton Town. The Bees are unbeaten in their last four games in the league, having obtained six points from a possible twelve, including a late draw against Manchester United.

In their most recent league game, Brentford beat Sheffield United by a 2-0 score line. An own goal from Ollie Arblaster gave them the lead, with Frank Onyeka securing all three points late on in injury time.

The Bees away record is relatively poor in standing. After 16 games away from home this season, they have only obtained three wins – averaging 0.69 points per game. Brentford haven’t won away from home since February – where they beat Wolves 2-0 thanks to goals from Christian Norgaard and Ivan Toney.

Neil Maupay leads the way in goals scored for Brentford this season. The Frenchman has scored eight goals this season and averages a goal every 187 minutes.

Gabriel Osho is expected to be available for the game against Brentford. The defender had been unavailable due to a knee injury. Chiedozie Ogbene is likely to be ruled out for Rob Edwards.

Rico Henry, Kevin Schade, Aaron Hickey, Ben Mee, Josh DaSilva, Ethan Pinnock and Christian Norgaard are amongst the first team players ruled out with injury. There are no suspension concerns for Thomas Frank.

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Header logoPremier League

Team logoNottm Forest
Team logoLuton
Team logoBurnley
Last updated 22/05/2024

Header logoPremier League

Team logoEverton
Team logoBrentford
Team logoNottm Forest
Last updated 22/05/2024

Footy Accumulators Prediction

This is a tough game to call considering Brentford's away record and Luton's recent form. We are going with a 2-1 win for the home side. Luton 2-1 Brentford

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