For Manchester City, this match is sandwiched between Premier League and FA Cup Semi-Final matches with Liverpool. They have a narrow 1-0 lead from the first leg thanks to a second half strike from Kevin De Bruyne. Diego Simeone’s approach of parking the bus in the first leg was successful enough, and they now have a chance to advance at home.
I expect Atletico will lose the possession battle because even if he wanted to, it's not in Pep Guardiola’s DNA to sit back and defend a lead. The best way through this tie is to score the first goal and force Atletico out of its shell. I expect Manchester City to score in the first half and you can bet that at DraftKings at -120. I’m also backing Riyad Mahrez to score at +205 on BetRivers.