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(2) Arizona vs. (7) Dayton: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Jack Stradley
Published 22 Mar 2024, 21:40| Updated at 22 Mar 2024, 21:47
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(2) Arizona vs. (7) Dayton: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Dayton will take on a monster in the second round in No. 2 Arizona. This matchup appears one-sided as Arizona has been an NCAA powerhouse this year and Dayton has had a good but not great season behind a star player in Daron Holmes. Let’s look at how these two teams matchup in this second-round game.

Dayton was a team that many people believed was seeded too high at seven. They ended up being underdogs to No. 10 Nevada but were able to pull off the win in that game behind a wild comeback. Dayton was down 17 points and Nevada took Holmes out of the game with double teams but that opened up the three for Dayton that they were able to knock down.

For Arizona, they played a close game with Long Beach State in the first half, which was unexpected. In the final minutes of the first half they were tied up but then built a six-point lead heading into the half. From there they dominated Long Beach State, especially defensively. They likely will have a similar advantage against Dayton. Arizona are large favorites in this game but Dayton can score in bunches and appear to never be out of any game as we saw in the first round.

Arizona Point Spread

Arizona -9.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

While Dayton completed a big comeback win, I don’t expect them to be able to stay with Arizona on either side of the ball. Arizona should be more fit to guard Dayton’s 20+ point per game scorer Holmes down low without double teaming and also be able to close out on their threes. Defense is what may put Arizona over the top.

A comparable team that Dayton has played this year to Arizona is Houston, who they lost to by 14 earlier this season. Arizona has looked great getting out in transition from big defensive stops and knocking down threes. Dayton doesn’t appear to have anyone who can defend these electric guards of Caleb Love and Kylan Boswell.

Saint Louis Billikens logo

STL

Michigan Wolverines logo

MICH

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 4:10 PM
Louisville Cardinals logo

LOU

Michigan State Spartans logo

MSU

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 6:45 PM
TCU Horned Frogs logo

TCU

Duke Blue Devils logo

DUKE

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 9:15 PM
Texas A&M Aggies logo

TEXA&M

Houston Cougars logo

HOU

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 10:10 PM
Dayton Flyers logo

DAYTON

UNCW Seahawks logo

UNCW

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 11:00 PM
Texas Longhorns logo

TEX

Gonzaga Bulldogs logo

GONZ

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 11:10 PM
VCU Rams logo

VCU

Illinois Fighting Illini logo

ILL

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 11:50 PM
Vanderbilt Commodores logo

VANDY

Nebraska Cornhuskers logo

NEB

NCAAB |  Sun 03/22, 12:45 AM
Liberty Flames logo

LIB

Nevada Wolf Pack logo

NEVADA

NCAAB |  Sun 03/22, 1:00 AM
High Point Panthers logo

HIGHPT

Arkansas Razorbacks logo

ARK

NCAAB |  Sun 03/22, 1:45 AM

(2) Arizona vs. (7) Dayton Total Points Over 149.5

Over 149.5 Total Points is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Arizona is the reason why this total is so high. It’s a line that 70% of their games this year have gone over. They are the 3rd-highest scoring team in the nation at 87.9 points per game. Their first game in the tournament totalled 150 points but they were also 20-point favorites and ended up winning by exactly 20. With this game expected to be closer, this total should go over again.

Dayton has played in a lot of low-scoring games this year. This one may have to be different. It would appear that this is an extremely tough matchup for Dayton and Arizona should be able to score at about their average of high 80s in points. At just a 9.5-point spread, Arizona will need just 80 points while Dayton scores around 70, which seems like a probable outcome and why this one should hit on the over.

Saint Louis Billikens logo

STL

Michigan Wolverines logo

MICH

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 4:10 PM
Louisville Cardinals logo

LOU

Michigan State Spartans logo

MSU

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 6:45 PM
TCU Horned Frogs logo

TCU

Duke Blue Devils logo

DUKE

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 9:15 PM
Texas A&M Aggies logo

TEXA&M

Houston Cougars logo

HOU

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 10:10 PM
Dayton Flyers logo

DAYTON

UNCW Seahawks logo

UNCW

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 11:00 PM
Texas Longhorns logo

TEX

Gonzaga Bulldogs logo

GONZ

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 11:10 PM
VCU Rams logo

VCU

Illinois Fighting Illini logo

ILL

NCAAB |  Sat 03/21, 11:50 PM
Vanderbilt Commodores logo

VANDY

Nebraska Cornhuskers logo

NEB

NCAAB |  Sun 03/22, 12:45 AM
Liberty Flames logo

LIB

Nevada Wolf Pack logo

NEVADA

NCAAB |  Sun 03/22, 1:00 AM
High Point Panthers logo

HIGHPT

Arkansas Razorbacks logo

ARK

NCAAB |  Sun 03/22, 1:45 AM

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