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(7) Dayton vs. (10) Nevada: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Dayton vs Nevada
Jack Stradley
Published 20 Mar 2024, 21:00| Updated at 21 Mar 2024, 10:59
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(7) Dayton vs. (10) Nevada: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Seven vs 10 games are commonly close contests. This one does appear to look one sided on paper though which we will get into. The spread is just one point in favor of Nevada. It’s also a low total in this game that could be a betting opportunity to take advantage of.

Dayton made it in the tournament as a seven seed despite losing in the quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 tournament. It’s definitely a curious seeding as they haven’t played any ranked teams outside of Houston who they lost to by 14 points. Outside of beating LSU and Northwestern, this team doesn’t have many impressive wins. Their saving grace has been Daron Holmes II who is averaging over 20 points and looks like a future NBA player that could cause Nevada fits.

Nevada are just slight favorites as the lower seed. They also arguably are more deserving of a higher seed than Dayton. Nevada has more total wins, higher quality wins, and is extremely hot winning eight of their last 10 games. If you’re looking for an upset pick, picking Nevada as a 10 over a seven would be a good bet.

Nevada Point Spread

Nevada -1 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Nevada has covered the spread in 70% of their games this year. Dayton has covered the spread 40% of the time. Nevada also hasn’t been involved in too many close wins. Two games they won by just three points but every other win was by four or more.

This matchup seems very lopsided. Nevada looks like they have everything going for them to get the win. Dayton has been said to have been one of the teams that was seeded too high and Nevada has been said to be seeded too low.
Taking Nevada on the point spread appears to be a no brainer. Anything can happen in the tournament but it seems that this matchup would have a much different spread if the seeds were switched, which they very well could have been. I come back to Daron Holmes II who will need a massive game against Nevada for them to have a chance.

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BU

Army West Point Black Knights logo

ARMY

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CIT

Western Carolina Catamounts logo

WCU

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Colgate Raiders logo

COLG

Holy Cross Crusaders logo

HOLYCR

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IOWA

Maryland Terrapins logo

MD

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USC

Ohio State Buckeyes logo

OHIOST

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VCU

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LASAL

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ALA

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MISS

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AMER

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LEHIGH

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APSU

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QUEENC

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BALLST

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Total Points Over 136.5

Over 136.5 Total Points is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

This is one of the lower totals on Thursday. It seems like another smash spot to take the over here. In 61% of games this year Nevada has gone over this total and Dayton has gone over it in 58% of games.

As the season heated up, these teams started scoring more and more as well. In their last 10 games both Nevada and Dayton have played in, the total went over 136.5 in seven of them. This includes the last six games for Nevada and before their last game, Dayton hit over this in six straight.

It is hard to decide whether betting on the spread for Nevada or the over in this game is my favorite bet. I like both a lot.

Boston University Terriers logo

BU

Army West Point Black Knights logo

ARMY

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 11:00 PM
Citadel Bulldogs logo

CIT

Western Carolina Catamounts logo

WCU

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 11:00 PM
Colgate Raiders logo

COLG

Holy Cross Crusaders logo

HOLYCR

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 11:00 PM
Iowa Hawkeyes logo

IOWA

Maryland Terrapins logo

MD

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 11:00 PM
USC Trojans logo

USC

Ohio State Buckeyes logo

OHIOST

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 11:30 PM
VCU Rams logo

VCU

La Salle Explorers logo

LASAL

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 11:30 PM
Alabama Crimson Tide logo

ALA

Ole Miss Rebels logo

MISS

NCAAB |  Thu 02/12, 12:00 AM
American University Eagles logo

AMER

Lehigh Mountain Hawks logo

LEHIGH

NCAAB |  Thu 02/12, 12:00 AM
Austin Peay Governors logo

APSU

Queens University Royals logo

QUEENC

NCAAB |  Thu 02/12, 12:00 AM
Buffalo Bulls logo

BUFF

Ball State Cardinals logo

BALLST

NCAAB |  Thu 02/12, 12:00 AM

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