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(7) Dayton vs. (10) Nevada: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Dayton vs Nevada
Jack Stradley
Published 20 Mar 2024, 21:00| Updated at 21 Mar 2024, 10:59
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(7) Dayton vs. (10) Nevada: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Seven vs 10 games are commonly close contests. This one does appear to look one sided on paper though which we will get into. The spread is just one point in favor of Nevada. It’s also a low total in this game that could be a betting opportunity to take advantage of.

Dayton made it in the tournament as a seven seed despite losing in the quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 tournament. It’s definitely a curious seeding as they haven’t played any ranked teams outside of Houston who they lost to by 14 points. Outside of beating LSU and Northwestern, this team doesn’t have many impressive wins. Their saving grace has been Daron Holmes II who is averaging over 20 points and looks like a future NBA player that could cause Nevada fits.

Nevada are just slight favorites as the lower seed. They also arguably are more deserving of a higher seed than Dayton. Nevada has more total wins, higher quality wins, and is extremely hot winning eight of their last 10 games. If you’re looking for an upset pick, picking Nevada as a 10 over a seven would be a good bet.

Nevada Point Spread

Nevada -1 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Nevada has covered the spread in 70% of their games this year. Dayton has covered the spread 40% of the time. Nevada also hasn’t been involved in too many close wins. Two games they won by just three points but every other win was by four or more.

This matchup seems very lopsided. Nevada looks like they have everything going for them to get the win. Dayton has been said to have been one of the teams that was seeded too high and Nevada has been said to be seeded too low.
Taking Nevada on the point spread appears to be a no brainer. Anything can happen in the tournament but it seems that this matchup would have a much different spread if the seeds were switched, which they very well could have been. I come back to Daron Holmes II who will need a massive game against Nevada for them to have a chance.

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UW-MIL

IU Indianapolis Jaguars logo

IU INDY

NCAAB |  Tue 02/10, 11:30 PM
BYU Cougars logo

BYU

Baylor Bears logo

BAYLOR

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Fordham Rams logo

FORD

Saint Joseph's Hawks logo

STJOES

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George Mason Patriots logo

GMASON

Richmond Spiders logo

RICH

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
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UNC

Miami (FL) Hurricanes logo

MIA-FL

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ND

SMU Mustangs logo

SMU

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
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PURDUE

Nebraska Cornhuskers logo

NEB

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Rhode Island Rams logo

URI

George Washington Revolutionaries logo

GW

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Vanderbilt Commodores logo

VANDY

Auburn Tigers logo

AUBURN

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UVA

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FLAST

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Total Points Over 136.5

Over 136.5 Total Points is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

This is one of the lower totals on Thursday. It seems like another smash spot to take the over here. In 61% of games this year Nevada has gone over this total and Dayton has gone over it in 58% of games.

As the season heated up, these teams started scoring more and more as well. In their last 10 games both Nevada and Dayton have played in, the total went over 136.5 in seven of them. This includes the last six games for Nevada and before their last game, Dayton hit over this in six straight.

It is hard to decide whether betting on the spread for Nevada or the over in this game is my favorite bet. I like both a lot.

Milwaukee Panthers logo

UW-MIL

IU Indianapolis Jaguars logo

IU INDY

NCAAB |  Tue 02/10, 11:30 PM
BYU Cougars logo

BYU

Baylor Bears logo

BAYLOR

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Fordham Rams logo

FORD

Saint Joseph's Hawks logo

STJOES

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
George Mason Patriots logo

GMASON

Richmond Spiders logo

RICH

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
North Carolina Tar Heels logo

UNC

Miami (FL) Hurricanes logo

MIA-FL

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Notre Dame Fighting Irish logo

ND

SMU Mustangs logo

SMU

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Purdue Boilermakers logo

PURDUE

Nebraska Cornhuskers logo

NEB

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Rhode Island Rams logo

URI

George Washington Revolutionaries logo

GW

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Vanderbilt Commodores logo

VANDY

Auburn Tigers logo

AUBURN

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM
Virginia Cavaliers logo

UVA

Florida State Seminoles logo

FLAST

NCAAB |  Wed 02/11, 12:00 AM

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