Two unexpected teams have made a run to the Final Four with the five seed San Diego St. pulling off some big wins to get there and more impressively Florida Atlantic as a nine seed managing to pull off upset after upset to get to this point. Does Florida Atlatnic have one more upset in them to get to the Finals? Every single game of the tournament they have been the underdog but have obviously come out on top.
Taking the moneyline on Florida Atlantic would boost the odds in this same-game parlay. The moneyline is set at +115 for Florida Atlantic in this scenario. The spread opened up at -1 in favor of San Diego St. and then has trickled all the way down to -2.5. So based on the original line we are getting some added value now by taking Florida Atlantic on either the moneyline or spread. Taking San Diego St. on the moneyline only pays -160.
For the second leg of the bet, look at the over/under on points. At 131.5 this is a low total where FAU only has an implied-points total of 64.5 points. If you're betting on FAU to win on the moneyline in the first leg, then it could make sense to take the under here, even at this low projected-points total. FAU has had some low scoring games, like when they beat Tennessee 62-55 or against Memphis when they won 66-65. San Diego St. won’t put up a ton of points consistently either as they scored just 57 in their Elite 8 win and 63 in the first round.
A positive value addition to this same-game parlay would be taking FAU to score over 65.5 points at +100. Playing this along with the FAU moneyline and the under on total points would mean that San Diego St. would also have to score 65 or less. It would net a +300 same-game parlay.