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(1) UConn vs. (5) San Diego State: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Jack Stradley
Published 27 Mar 2024, 10:54| Updated at 27 Mar 2024, 11:05
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(1) UConn vs. (5) San Diego State: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

It’s a rematch of last year’s Championship game between UConn and San Diego State in the Sweet 16 on Thursday. The Aztecs will be out for revenge and the Huskies will look to keep their hot streak rolling.

UConn has been rolling for what seems like a full calendar year now. They destroyed Stetson in the first round and dominated Northwestern in the R32. They are led by All-American guard Tristen Newton. He is averaging 15 points, 7 rebounds, and almost 6 assists per game. He put up a double double against Northwestern and was two assists shy of another one vs. Stetson. Big man Donovan Clingan also had a double double vs. the Wildcats. He will be in for a much tougher matchup vs. Jaedon LeDee.

The Aztecs are coming into this one after a dominant performance vs. Yale on Sunday. LeDee had a monster night, going for 26 points and 9 boards. It is on defense where this team really shines. The Aztecs are 9th in adjusted defensive rating according to KenPom. They rely on their defense to smother teams and convert offensive rebounds into points. That will be difficult to do against this Huskies team.

UConn Huskies Point Spread

UConn -10.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

San Diego State’s defense is great, but UConn’s is not to be messed with either. The Huskies have not given up more than 58 points in a game in three games. They held a great Marquette offense to 57 points in the Big East Championship game. Clingan is a force down low. It will be very difficult for LeDee to get into much of a rhythm on offense.

The Aztecs are not great on the offensive side of the ball. They are 142nd in scoring offense and 292nd in shooting from behind the arc. They mainly count on offensive rebounds in their gameplan. That will be very hard to do against a UConn team who is 8th in the country in rebound margin. The Huskies have won five of their last 6 games by more than 10 points and that should continue here.

Louisville Cardinals logo

LOU

North Carolina Tar Heels logo

UNC

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:00 AM
Nicholls Colonels logo

NICH

Lamar Cardinals logo

LAMAR

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:00 AM
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TA&MCC

Southeastern Louisiana Lions logo

SELA

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:00 AM
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HCU

East Texas A&M Lions logo

ETA&M

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
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UNO

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SFA

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
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INCWOR

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NWST

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
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UTRGV

McNeese State Cowboys logo

MCNE

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
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MSVL

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GRAM

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 1:30 AM
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HOU

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KANSAS

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(1) UConn vs. (5) San Diego State Total Points Under 135.5

Under 145.5 Total Points is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

After talking up both teams' defenses, it shouldn’t be surprising that the under is the play here. Both teams play at a very slow pace. San Diego State is 224th in pace of play, while UConn is 302nd. The Huskies are capable of winning games in many different ways. This one should be a slugfest. Don’t expect too many points in this one.

Louisville Cardinals logo

LOU

North Carolina Tar Heels logo

UNC

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:00 AM
Nicholls Colonels logo

NICH

Lamar Cardinals logo

LAMAR

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:00 AM
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders logo

TA&MCC

Southeastern Louisiana Lions logo

SELA

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:00 AM
Houston Christian Huskies logo

HCU

East Texas A&M Lions logo

ETA&M

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
New Orleans Privateers logo

UNO

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks logo

SFA

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
UIW Cardinals logo

INCWOR

Northwestern State Demons logo

NWST

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros logo

UTRGV

McNeese State Cowboys logo

MCNE

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 12:30 AM
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils logo

MSVL

Grambling State Tigers logo

GRAM

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 1:30 AM
Houston Cougars logo

HOU

Kansas Jayhawks logo

KANSAS

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 2:00 AM
George Washington Revolutionaries logo

GW

La Salle Explorers logo

LASAL

NCAAB |  Tue 02/24, 11:30 PM

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