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Capper Penguin's Tuesday AL Divisional Series Pick - 10/11

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ALDS Game 1; Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees

BOUNCE BACK, let's do it. I'm also good with 7 runs here, but I prefer 6.5. Cal Quantrill is in for a rough game in NY after giving 3 ER last game with the total ending with 9 runs. The environment and situation should get to Cal as he's only pitched for one playoff out and going against a Yankee team that has scored 5 and 4 in their last two playoff games in the Bronx. NYY may cover this line on their own, but Cole is also prone to give some runs with this total hitting his last 3 of 3 games at home. In Cole's last three starts vs Cleveland this total has been covered easily with 17, 12 and 12 runs with two of them being in New York. In the last 5 games head to head, these teams went over this total in four of them and in the game that went under Cole or Quantrill didn't start. With the weather not being a huge factor, I expect some fireworks tonight in the Bronx just like the first two playoff games today.

Capper Penguin's Pick

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NYY/CLE o6.5 runs @ -130
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