It’s not very bold but here’s my take… When Patrick Corbin pitches, I’m taking the other side! 99 times out of 100. Especially in April vs. the Braves. Here’s why:
March/April performance, last 2 seasons
Last 2 seasons vs. Atlanta
2023 pre-season projections, FanGraphs
Preferred Angle / Best Bet: Atlanta Braves to Win First 5 Innings x Full Game Parlay (-115)
It’s -115 at Draftkings as of Wednesday night, and I’d take this bet down to -130! It’s chalky —I know— but worth the price to me given Corbin’s past (April splits + Braves history) and the projections I referenced.
I didn’t devote much real estate to Atlanta in this column, but I’m high on them this season (regardless of the matchup vs. Corbin). The NL East was a 3-headed BEAST last year, and the Braves reigned supreme (as NL East champs). They grinded out a 101 win season that was ultimately spoiled by an early playoff exit though. Expectations going forward are high, I think they’re up for the task, and it starts now! Bonus: this is a day game.
New users in VA. 21+CLAIM NOW
I am once again asking you to make some three pointers Michael. Over on DraftKings (get it here if you don't have it, $5 gets you $200 in Bonus Bets) they're giving us an SGP boost...