The Bucks are starting to round into championship form. They haven’t been perfect but they’re getting solid contributions from the whole team. Portland on the other hand has sold the farm, with a full commitment to a rebuild around Dame. The team will most likely miss the playoffs but they have had some decent contributions from surprising players like Nurkic and Simons. So the questions is whether they will pull off a backdoor cover.
Unfortunately, those don’t happen much to the Bucks. The bottom roster is better than average which leads to big margins of victory. In their last 6 against teams with a losing record (including Portland), the Bucks are undefeated and have won by an average of 17 points. In a close fight for the top of the east, the Bucks will have their foot on the gas and cover the large spread.