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Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction and Betting Odds

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Familiar foes finally battle at Buffalo

Need-to-know info

  • Who: Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills
  • When: Sunday, Jan 21 at 6:30PM ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
  • How to watch: ABC/ESPN

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs. YES! A familiar sight in recent years with these two consistently up there as the best teams in the AFC. Josh Allen vs Patrick Mahomes is always a joy to watch, and here we go again. In the Playoffs. And perhaps most importantly of all, in New York.

The last two postseason meetings have been at Arrowhead and have gone the way of the Chiefs – including that game almost two years to the day. A 42-36 overtime win to Kansas in which we witnessed greatness from two generational talents. Four lead changes, 25 points in the final two minutes and jaw-dropping stat lines from Allen and Mahomes. Run. It. Back.

Neither have hit those heights this year, yet they still extended their respective division-winning streaks. It’s now four in a row for the Bills and EIGHT for the Chiefs. The Bills overcame adversity, having to rattle off five in a row to topple the Dolphins after a middling start.

Then they overcame the elements, eventually, on Wildcard Weekend. The Buffalo blizzard finally slowed, and the Bills brought the heat. Steelers were out of sight in a flash with two Tight End touchdowns and a 52-yard rushing TD from the electric Allen.

Bills have won the last two meetings in Kansas, and now have home advantage against the Chiefs who have been a little out-of-sorts all season. But last week showed they still have plenty of quality, easing past the Dolphins in a cold one in Kansas.

Rookie Rashee Rice (we like saying that) had himself a game with 130 yards and a score, while Isaiah Pacheco got things going on the ground with 89 rushing yards and a touchdown. Mahomes added 41 yards on the ground and we can’t wait to see him and Allen demonstrate their dual threat once again on the big stage.

TEAM NEWS - Bruised Bills taking each day as it comes

The Bills injury report is a long one, with coach Sean McDermott stating 10 players will be day-to-day – five of which picked up injuries in the Wildcard win over the Steelers. That includes linebacker Terrel Bernard. His ankle sprain isn’t as bad as first feared, but he perhaps faces the biggest battle to make it back for the weekend. Cornerback Rasul Douglas and Linebacker Tyrel Dodson are back in practice.

Team News: Chiefs in good shape for Buffalo battle

Defensive Tackle Derrick Ndadi was the only non-participant with Chiefs almost at full strength going into the Divisional Round. Cornerback L’Jarius Sneed was limited, but likely out of precaution. Receiving duo Kadarius Toney and Justyn Ross couldn’t go against the Dolphins but were upgraded to limited participants to start the week – so Mahomes could have all his armory available for this clash of two AFC titans.

Form Guide

Season Record

Buffalo Bills: 11-6 (1st in the AFC East)

Kansas City Chiefs: 11-6 (1st in the AFC West)


Final Five

Bills: WWWWW

Chiefs: LWLWW


Previous Meeting

Chiefs 17-20 Bills (Week 14)


How one call can change everything. Kadarius Toney drew a flag for offsides, negating what was likely the game-winning score in Week 14. If that touchdown was awarded, Bills don’t win the division and who knows how the AFC Divisional Round would be looking. We’re ready for more drama.

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FlashPicks prediction

We’re all in on the Buffalo Bills. We tipped them at a big price when the Playoffs weren’t even a guarantee. They’ve been unstoppable ever since. We know anything can happen when these two play – but the Chiefs haven’t quite clicked and a frustrating year for Mahomes might end here.

Moneyline Pick: Bills (-142)

Odds and spreads correct as of 01/17/2024

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Spread Pick: Bills -3 (+102)

Odds and spreads correct as of 01/17/2024

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Totals Pick: Over 45.5 (-109)

Odds and spreads correct as of 01/17/2024

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FLASHPICKS HAS YOU COVERED FOR SUPER BOWL LVIII

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