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Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction and Betting Odds

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Home comforts for Detroit, but Bucs are motoring

Need-to-know info

  • Who: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions
  • When: Sunday, Jan 21 at 3PM ET
  • Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
  • How to watch: NBC

Ford Field waits 22 years to host a playoff game, then two come along at once! The Cowboys were swept aside by Green Bay on Wildcard Weekend – and that means another home game for Detroit. The Lions haven’t had much to thank the Packers for over the years, but that result certainly boosts their chances of reaching the NFC Championship game.

Head Coach Dan Campbell’s aggression and brave calls have been a feature of the Lions’ season, and he showed those attributes again in a hard-fought 24-23 win against the Rams. It’s a no risk, no reward playbook and it’s got this franchise dreaming of going all the way.

The Lions raced out the blocks last week with the RB tandem of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs putting them out in front. Sam LaPorta put the icing on a nice first-half offensive display, while Amari St. Brown (7 catches for 110 yards) and Josh Reynolds (5 for 80) did a lot of the heavy lifting.

Jared Goff and the offense couldn’t get the points on the board in the second half, but the QB protected the ball and delivered under pressure in what was the best playoff performance of his career.

The red-zone defense held firm too, but the secondary was exposed by Rams’ star WR Puka Nacua – and that’s where Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be licking their lips. We expected the Bucs to put the final nail in the coffin of the Eagles’ season, but they sure looked good while doing it in a 32-9 win.

Baker Mayfield got NINE different receivers involved on Monday night in a 337-yard, three-touchdown performance against last year’s Super Bowl finalists. Tight End Cade Otton had a huge game, but you can expect Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to get more involved in this one.

And they’re gonna need to, cos the Bucs’ running game still leaves a lot to be desired – despite the best efforts of the talented Rachaad White. The Lions’ rush defense is one of their strengths, so Mayfield is gonna have to keep on slingin’ if Bucs wanna keep on winning.

TEAM NEWS: Lions roaring and raring to go

A fit and healthy roster in Detroit. Sam LaPorta was a big concern coming into the Playoffs, but he suited up on Wildcard Weekend and came up big with the crucial touchdown. He only had three targets though – and Dan Campbell will hope his All Pro rookie can get more involved this week.


Another man who can make an impact is James Houston, and the Edge Rusher who suffered a broken ankle in Week 2 is back in practice. He wants in. But will this one come a little too soon?

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Team News: Banged up Bucs to battle through

Tampa Bay have a few concerns in midweek but just try stopping this lot from playing. OLBs Shaquil Barrett and Yaya Diaby did not participate, and nor did RB Chase Edmonds or WR Chris Godwin.

Godwin has played through a knee injury for much of the season so there’s not too much concern there. Edmonds had seven rushes and two targets against the Eagles, providing important rotation to lead rusher Rachaad White.

Baker Mayfield is back in full practice after his excellent Wildcard Weekend performance.

Form Guide

Season Record

Detroit Lions: 12-5 (1st in the NFC North)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9-8 (1st in the NFC South)


Final Five

Lions: LWWLW

Buccaneers: WWWLW

Previous Meeting

Buccaneers 6-20 Lions (Week 6)

Lions were comfortable when the pair met in Florida in Week 6. Goff and St. Brown starred, with the wideout accounting for 124 of the 350+ yards thrown by Goff. Tampa Bay are better now, but have they closed the gap enough to produce a shock in Motor City?

FlashPicks prediction

Detroit Lions are far from perfect, with that offense stuttering over the line once again in their takedown of the Rams. But they’re doing enough and – despite the Bucs' domination against the Eagles – we think they’ll do so again here.

Moneyline Pick: Lions (-265)

Odds and spreads correct as of 01/17/2024

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Spread Pick: Lions -6.5 (109)

Odds and spreads correct as of 01/17/2024

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Totals Pick: Over 48.5 (-109)

Odds and spreads correct as of 01/17/2024

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