I’m writing this just after full time in the Newcastle v Liverpool match because I wanted to make sure Manchester City know what they need to do. Liverpool took care of business and City are temporarily two points behind the Reds. Anything other than a win and the league title will no longer be in their control so I suspect a strong performance from City.
Leeds have steadied the ship with the appointment of Jesse Marsch and have put a little distance between themselves and the bottom three. Under Bielsa they were leaking goals and relegation was a real possibility. Since the management change Leeds have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 so I don’t anticipate a repeat of the 7-0 result from December.
The Citizens will have hoped for a favor from Newcastle but Liverpool weren’t in any mood to drop points. Klopp rotated his squad and I expect Guardiola to do the same. With one eye on the Champions League match in midweek I think we’ll see multiple changes. I’m not going to predict a goal scorer but it's impossible to ignore the form of Jesus and wouldn’t talk anyone off a bet on him to score.
With Patrick Bamford still on the comeback trail I was tempted to back City to win to nil but instead I found nice plus money value on a same game parlay. I’m taking Manchester City over 1.5 goals + Manchester City over 5.5 corners in the match + Leeds United under 1.5 goals. This comes to +125 and is safer than the win to nil and a much better price than over 2.5 goals.