First and foremost, Josiah Gray walks A LOT of people and it contributes to a ton of short starts for him including his past few vs Philly. Last year, he faced Philly three times allowing 5, 4 and 1 hits in each game. In his last start, he allowed 6 earned runs, but only on 5 hits because he walked 3 people.
Not much has changed this year in terms of walks, he's walked 3, 6, 3, 4 in his last 4 games and has allowed under 5.5 hits in his last 7 of 9 games, but allowed less than 5.5 in his last 3 at home where he's allowing 4.25 hits per game. He's also getting a Philly squad who has been ice cold this away trip. They've scored less, on average, 1.8 runs per game so far in their last 5 games on this road trip and averaged 4.6 hits per game TOTAL.
With Josiah Gray's walks and short outings, give me the under on his hits allowed.