DRINK THE JUICE 🧃
Seth Lugo has NOT ALLOWED A RUN in 22.2 innings pitched away from home. This is an insane stat and definitely worth a sprinkle to hold the Jays under 2.5 runs. The lines make sense here. They're expecting depth with the risk of allowing a few at some point. He's getting so deep into games raising his chances to allow a few and this should be a great example vs the Jays who attack pitches early looking to keep pitch count low. He also throws a ton of strikes and is looking for weakly hit balls that his defense can easily take care of easily.
I'm much more confident in Lugo going deeper into this game, but taking the under 2.5 ER for plus money if he continues to be dominant.