Capper Penguin's Monday NRFI Pick - 9/26

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Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Risking my 38-13 record and giving Roansy a chance to get us our money back. He fumbled vs the NYY LG walking two hitters and being one strike away multiple times to get out of the inning. Besides this game he has an undefeated NRFI record in 2022 (15-1) and maintains an undefeated record at home (9-0) including NRFI LG vs CIN.

CIN hasn't scored a first run in their last 15 of 17 games and last 7 of 7 away games. On the other side, PIT holds the league's highest NRFI numbers in the MLB at just under 82% and haven't scored a first inning run in their last 15 series opening games at home. Chase Anderson has a 4-1 2022 NRFI record and came in as a reliever vs PIT this year in the 3rd inning, but held them to 0 runs in his first two IP. NRFI hit 11 out of the 14 head to head games this year. On top of all of that, we have very favorable weather with -3.6% runs and -17% HR downtick.

Give me the NRFI on the two worst offenses in the MLB!

Capper Penguin's NRFI Pick 🐧

betmgm

CIN/PIT NRFI @ -130

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