Capper Penguin's Runs Prediction & Pick for Sunday - 8/21

The weather is favorable for the under with -3% runs, -22% XBH & -2% 1Bs. The first half under has hit in both Nestor Cortes starts vs TOR in 2022. TOR is also playing at a worse level in AUG (BA wise) and they’re worse vs LHP. On the other side, the under has also hit in all 3 Manoah starts vs NYY in 2022. The biggest edge for us is that NYY remains cold and hasn’t figured it out yet scoring just 4 runs total vs TOR this series. Give me the under with two elite pitchers with good matchups, favorable weather, and favorable trends.

Penguin's Pick: TOR/NYY 1st Half under 4 runs (-130)