Capper Penguin's Sunday MLB Pick - 9/4

The Mets have played really well vs Fedde and the Nationals. This has hit in the Mets last 7 of 10 games in Washington including 12 first half runs in Fedde's last start. Fedde is also not in good form allowing 4.8 1H runs per game in his last 5 starts. Fedde gives up, on average, over 1 HR per game in his last 7 starts and his last 4 vs the Mets and with favorable weather conditions giving us a 7% HR uptick, give me the over Mets over.