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Capper Penguin's Tuesday MLB Play of the Day - 9/26

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Capper Penguin's Prop Research

GREAT BUY LOW SPOT!!

There is a TON of value in Aaron Nola getting a win and securing a playoff spot and potential home field advantage for the Phillies.

Here’s a list:

  • Aaron Nola 3.44 home ERA, Mitch Keller 5.49 away ERA
  • Has great history vs almost all PIT batters this evening
  • He recorded a win in last 2 of 3 home starts
  • Keller allowed 7 and 8 ER last 2 away starts
  • Nola allowed 7 ER in last 5 home starts combined
  • Great buy low spot after his last game @ PIT
  • Nola 1.5 ER line and Mitch Keller 2.5 ER line
  • Philly won last 5 straight gms avg 5.6 runs

I ultimately think Nola and the Phillies will show up vs a non motivated Pirates team who have lost some key guys throughout the year.

🐧 Penguin's Pick

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Aaron Nola to record a win @ +145
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