The Cleveland Guardians have been absolutely crushing in September winning their last 7 of 7 games (and last 16 of 18). They've been averaging 7.57 RPG in their last 7 wins and had 4 runs vs Corey Kluber in 6 IP last game in Tampa. Kluber is in bad form giving 6 ER in 0.2 IP LG away vs the Yankees. He also sports a 5.05 road ERA and around a 5 ERA in September.
On the other side, the Guardians ace, Shane Bieber, is on the mound. First of all, he gives plenty of distance in games going over 6 IP in his last 13 games. He's in great form winning his last 4 games and his only game vs Tampa Bay this year at Tampa. Bieber is in peak form sporting a 1.62 ERA in August and a 1.95 ERA in September.
With the combination of Bieber pitching his best baseball and the Guardians playing their best baseball,
I bet Bieber records a win vs Corey Kluber and the Rays who haven't been playing well.
Taking this on Bet365 because it has the best odds.