I love the weather tonight for this play as Ballpark Pal is projecting 30% HR and 9% run downtick. Logan Webb has started games strong and then faded in the 3rd-5th inning. He’s had NRFI in the last 5 games and last 3 home games. He has decent matchup history vs the top of the SDP lineup who haven’t scored a first inning run in the second game of their last 17/19 series. The addition of Juan Soto is 0-7 career vs Webb and Kim (leadoff hitter) didn’t have a hit in his last matchup vs Webb. Logan Webb didn’t give a first inning run in his last game vs SDP and has only given 2 runs in the last 16 IP vs SDP. On the other side, Blake Snell hasn’t given a first inning run in his last 6 away games & both games vs SFG this year.
Give me the NRFI that burned everyone yesterday!