Heartbreaking night for us on the ice last night. Here’s my best attempt to make it right.
If you follow me on Twitter, I think you’ll like this parlay! We cashed a subset of it last night. Let’s run it back.
@FastMoneyLabs’ +197 MLB Parlay - 5/25
Leg 1: Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5 (-160) vs. Nationals
- Riding the hot hand as LAD has scored 5+ runs in 8 of their last 10 games.
- Data suggests negative regression could be imminent for Nationals’ pitcher Erick Fedde (expected ERA > actual ERA).
- Washington used 6 different relief pitchers in the last 2 days. If Fedde can’t pitch deep into the game, LAD should feast on the Nats’ exhausted bullpen.
- Nationals Park has the most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today, according to BallparkPal.com.
If your book doesn’t offer 4.5, Over 5 works for this leg, too.
Leg 2: Reds/Cubs Game Total Over 8.5 (-120)
- Over is 13-3 in Reds home games & 2-0 in this matchup.
- Cubs averaging 5.5 runs per game in their last 10.
- Both lineups have strong lifetime numbers vs. opposing pitcher (Castillo and Hendricks).
- Hendricks coming off worst start of season (7 earned runs in 5 innings vs. the lowly Diamondbacks).
- Bullpens are fried as both teams combined to use 14 different relief pitchers in the last 2 days.
+197 odds for the parlay at Bet365. I sized my bet to win 1 unit (risk 0.51).
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