@FastMoneyLabs' Best Bet - 6/19

New York Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (-122)

If you’ve been following along, you know the drill. Happy Yusei Kikuchi Day.

This Jays southpaw’s struggles are well-documented, and we’re fading him again today vs. the scorching hot Yankees.

This will be the Bombers’ 3rd time seeing him this year, a situation that typically favors offense.

Familiarity aside, the Yanks absolutely dominate Yusei Kikuchi, as shown below (courtesy of BaseballSavant.com):

$FML Yusei Kikuchi

It doesn’t fully pull through in his ERA yet (he allowed 2 or less earned runs in all 3 starts vs. NYY this year), but the expected statistics from those matchups tell the story, namely the xwOBA of 0.428. The difference between his actual vs. expected statistics indicates the Yanks are tearing the cover off the ball vs. him but not getting the results they deserve yet.

This type of dynamic can play out when a team is smashing the ball hard off the bat but directly at defenders. Logic suggests that eventually, those barreled balls will find gaps.

Kikuchi’s only hope to save face might have been for the Yankees to rest some starters today. Spoiler alert: they’re not.

The full force is in play today, and we’re backing the Yanks with confidence to score 5+ runs.

New York Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (-122) via FanDuel

Free Bets & Offers

💰 Bet $10 on any NFL game & Win $200 when a TD is scored! 🏈
Exclusively to IL, KS & LA only
⚡️ Get a $1,250 Risk-Free Bet!
New Customers in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.
Bet $100 & Get $100 in Free Bets
T&C's apply 21+ VA only.
Join WynnBet
⚡️ $1,000 Risk-Free Bet on ANY Sport!
Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, KS, LA, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY.
Get our experts' latest picks and free bets straight to your inbox!
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.7.10 (1)