Covered this number in 6 of his last 10 starts and 3 of his last 4 vs. Atlanta. He’s yet to face the 2022 Braves but in their last 2 meetings in ‘21, he finished with 6 and 8 strikeouts. This year’s team is a good target for strikeout props with a 25.3% strikeout rate vs. Right-Handed Pitching (RHP) — 3rd highest in MLB. 10 of the last 13 RHP they faced whiffed 5+, and I trust Walker to do the same tonight at home. I also played this as a straight bet to win 1 unit.
@FastMoneyLabs' Friday Night Parlay - 8/5
Leg 1: Taijuan Walker 5+ Ks vs. Braves (-125)
Leg 2: Corey Kluber 6+ K vs. Tigers (+140)
Coming off a season-high 10 strikeout game vs. the Guardians — one of the toughest team to whiff, and gets to face one of the easiest teams to whiff tonight in Detroit. The Tigers have the 6th highest strikeout rate vs. Right-Handed Pitching (RHP) this year, and nearly 1 out of every 4 of their plate appearances is resulting in a strikeout.
In Kluber’s last 2 matchups with Detroit, he sat down 10 & 8. I like his chances to whiff 7-8 again tonight but to be safe I went with 6+ for our parlay. I also played this as a straight bet to win 1 unit.
Leg 3: Dylan Cease 7+ K & Win vs. Texas (-105)
Fresh off earning American League Pitcher of the Month recognition for the 2nd consecutive month, I’d need a really good reason to shy away from the White Sox’ Ace for Leg 3.
Dylan Cease is basically burning down the league at this point. For example, he’s now gone 12 straight starts without allowing more than 1 run. He’s also sat down 7+ batters in 8 of his last 10 (80%) games, and 8+ in 7 of his last 10 (70%).
His consistent performance has earned him the 3rd shortest odds to win the AL Cy Young award (+480) behind only Shane McClanahan (+260) and Justin Verlander (-130).
He’ll look to pick up steam in that race tonight against Texas, who have the 12th highest K rate vs. Right-Handed Pitchers (RHP) in the last month. In one career visit to Arlington Park, Dylan Cease sat down 10 batters on September 17, 2021.
Texas is yet to face the 2022 version of Dylan Cease, and don’t say I didn’t warn you, Texas — that dude has upgraded to a killer, frankly lethal, 70’s-style mustache. The White Sox are 16-5 when this version of Cease starts.
Meanwhile, Texas is just 5-10 when Glenn “Clean Shaven” Otto starts.
Call me crazy guys, but I’ll take the favorite to whiff 7+ & win for Leg 3! I also played this as a straight bet to win 1 unit.
I got +743 odds for the parlay at FanDuel Sportsbook and risked 0.5 units (i.e. half my normal bet size) to win 3.72!
I also bet each line straight to win 1/unit each.
Parlaying bets comes with an added degree of risk, so please bet responsibly and best of luck!
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