@FastMoneyLabs' Sunday MLB Best Bet - 5/7

It's a beautiful day for baseball in Philly & FastMoneyLabs has given us a pick as the Red Sox visit the Phillies in this Sunday afternoon MLB matchup. Let's stay hot!

• Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 (-121)via Barstool Sportsbook

They’ve hit this in 8 straight games & today’s weather forecast is extremely favorable for bats! 75 degree temps with winds blowing out to right-center in Philly. Per RotoGrinders WeatherEdge… these conditions boost home run potential by +20%. That’s based on a deep sample of 114 past games with similar weather at Citizens Bank Park.

It’s Taijuan Walker’s turn in Philly’s rotation, and he’s coming off his worst 2 starts of the season. He’s excelling in chase rate (81st percentile); however, the Red Sox’ elite plate discipline eliminates that edge. Most other indicators point to value on the Sox.

Boston’s hottest bat didn’t play yesterday (Yoshida), and they still scored 7 runs. Today Yoshida’s back and rested. Justin Turner’s off but available to pinch hit.

Long story short — I’d need a reallllly good reason to avoid the Sox Team Total today, and I’m not seeing it! I wagered to win 1U at best available odds (currently -121 Barstool, BetRivers, SugarHouse; playable down to -140)