$FML's MLB Best Bet for Monday Night - 4/17

FML is looking at this Toronto Ace for Monday night's MLB action - check it out below!

⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
SUBSCRIBE TODAY
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

Kevin Gausman over 6.5 K’s (+105)

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Pitcher props have been a real thorn in my ass so far, but the season’s still young and I love this spot!

Gausman burst into the Cy Young conversation early last year before injuries derailed it. Now he’s back in peak form and gets a decent matchup tonight (by his standards):

  • His 31.6% strikeout rate so far ranks Top 14% of MLB thanks to an elite, 43% chase rate (Top 2%)
  • Meanwhile — Astros striking out 24.2% vs. RHP (10th most) with a 28.2% chase rate (12th highest)
  • Past history heavily favors Gausman (see table) who’s posted a 48.3% career strikeout rate vs. current Houston roster (excluding Altuve, IL)
  • At least 3 Astros starters have never faced him (early advantage Gausman)
  • Home/road splits also support this pick as the 6.5 line is 12-5 (71%) to the Over away from home since last year

The key unknown at this point relates to Umpire assignment; however, I’m willing to bet it won’t matter much given Gausman’s elite swing & miss ability + chase rate.

I risked a full unit at +105 (MGM) and would play down to -120!

Gausman Stats

$FML's Best Bet

betmgm

KEVIN GAUSMAN OVER 6.5 K’S @ +105

FML's Promo: $1,000 in Bonus Bets on any Sport
CLAIM NOW
New users in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY. 21+

Free Bets & Offers


Virginia: Bet $1 on Anything & Get $200 Guaranteed
Deposit required. Bonus Bets winnings are added to Bonus Bets balance. Bonus Bet wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. CO, NJ, OH & VA only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. 21+
CLAIM NOW
Virginia: Bet $20, Win $200 in Free Bets
Promo Code: GET100. New users in VA. 21+.
CLAIM NOW
Bet $5, Get $200 Instantly in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
CLAIM NOW
$1,000 in Bonus Bets on any Sport in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
CLAIM NOW
Get up to $100 in Bonus Bets
21+ Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Claim Now
⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
State Selector
Virginia
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2023 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.8.6 (1)