@KeepTheJuice21 Home Run Parlay & Yankees @ Cardinals Prediction - 8/6

Juan Soto has landed in San Diego and is pretty much doing what everyone expected him to. The next step is naturally to start hitting dingers (can’t let Brandon Drury steal his thunder). Soto is a unique talent who performs best against the best, and the Padres will need it against the Dodgers. Andrew Heaney is a worthy opponent which bumps Soto’s odds but he’s got great value tonight.

One of the most impressive hitters this year, Devers is a risk to go yard every night. Daniel Lynch certainly does not change that. Lynch is an ok starter but young and unproven. He doesn’t exactly pitch like he’s young but he gives up hits in streaks and Devers is very dangerous with runners on base. The Red Sox are still in the race for the playoffs and need some juice from their best player tonight.

Soto/Devers @ +2500 (Caesars)

The Yankees and Cardinals have both made serious pushes to compete with the best in the playoffs. The Cardinals lost in the Soto sweepstakes but still they added Jose Quintana and tonight’s starter Jordan Montgomery straight from the opposing Yankees. The pitching matchup is exactly what entices about the over tonight. Montgomery has been a career Yankee, playing the last 5 seasons in New York. In other words the Yankees know this guy. That’s not something that shows up in the statistics but Montgomery has never pitched for another team and now in his first start on another team has to face them.

On the opposite side Domingo German will start for the Yankees. While he’s shown improvement, his return has not been smooth. In 11 innings he’s given up 9 runs and 3 home runs. The bullpen is deep and ready to step in but the Cardinals offense is too good not to give him a little trouble. All we need is 8 runs tonight, which shouldn’t be any problem for these prolific lineups against average to below average starters.

Over 7.5 Runs @ -115 (DraftKings)