@RyanPropz' NLDS Game 2: Phillies @ Braves Pick - 10/12

Ryan Propz | @ryanpropz

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Game 2 NLDS

What a thriller game 1 was. The Phillies jumped out to a big lead, but their bullpen did almost everything they could to blow the game. Luckily for Phillies fans, baseball is only 9 innings and the Phillies escaped with a 1 run win. Now after using 6 bullpen arms, I love this spot for the Phillies ace to step up and give them some distance, and some strikeouts. 

Zack Wheeler will be on the mound this afternoon for the Phillies. I am certainly no stranger to writing Wheeler articles, and did not really hesitate this morning to go this route again. As I mentioned already, the 6 bullpen arms used yesterday will play a massive factor here. The Phillies will need every out Wheeler can accumulate. He pitched into the 7th last game and threw 96 pitches, and I believe we see something similar today. With that kind of distance, I love over 5.5 strikeouts at plus odds.

I do not typically value hit rates from the regular season come postseason time, but given the leash I expect, it is worth noting Zack has 6+ K in 16/27 starts and 7/11 in away games. He brings a great 25.6% away K rate with him to Atlanta. Zack sits in the 74th percentile in K rate, 83rd percentile in chase rate, and 62nd percentile in K per inning. That bodes well vs a K prone Atlanta offense.

Zack has faced the Braves 3 times this season resulting in 10, 8, and 7 strikeouts. Strikeouts have been a problem for them all season long. They are coming off a 12 K game yesterday. They have the 2nd highest K rate vs RHP for the season. They averaged the second most K per game at 9.26, and that number jumped up to 9.34 at home. 

I expect Zack to do everything in his power to go 6+ innings today, and love his chances to record 6+ K if he does. 

@RyanPropz' Pick

draftkings

ZACK WHEELER OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS @ +115

⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
SUBSCRIBE TODAY
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

Free Bets & Offers


🍗 Thanksgiving Offer 🏈 Bet $20, Get $100!
21+ in CO, VA, MI. Promo code GET100
Claim Now
Bet $5 & Get $150 in Free Bets 💰
AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WY, WV 21+ only
CLAIM NOW
Bet $10 on any World Cup game & Win $200 When A Goal Is Scored ⚽️💰
Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, KS, LA, MI, NJ, TN, VA, WV, WY. 21+ only
CLAIM OFFER
⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.8.1 (1)