@RyanPropz Padres @ Phillies K Prop Pick - 5/19

Ryan Dolan | @ryanpropz

San Diego Padres (23-14) @ Philadelphia Phillies (18-19)

In year 2 with the Padres, one thing remains consistent for Yu Darvish. He struggles on the road. Last season he was 2-7 with a 5.54 ERA in 13 starts, and this season he is 1-1 with a 7.91 ERA. This afternoon, he faces a dangerous Phillies offense on a beautiful day at Citizens Bank Park. 

As for his strikeouts, they are noticeably down this season. He is averaging .82 K per inning in 39 innings so far this year, and .74 K per inning on the road. He is in the 34th percentile in K%, 45th percentile in whiff%, and 19th percentile in chase rate. He just has not been missing bats like we are accustomed to seeing from the 35 year old. Over the last 2 seasons, Yu has only recorded 7 or more K on the road in 3 of 17 starts, and 0/4 this season. 

The Phillies are 7th in the league in runs per game, 6th in home runs per game, 11th in on base %, and 3rd in slugging %. They have a strong lineup, and there is a shot the MVP, Bryce Harper, returns to that lineup today. They only have a K% of 23.2% vs right handed pitching for the year which has dropped to 22.5% over the last 30 days. I think they will make it tough on Yu to rack up strikeouts, and they have the potent offense to knock him out of the game early. 

Ryan's Pick

fanduel

YU DARVISH UNDER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS @ -128

Free Bets & Offers


💰 Bet $10 on any NFL game & Win $200 when a TD is scored! 🏈
Exclusively to IL, KS & LA only
JOIN HERE!
⚡️ Get a $1,250 Risk-Free Bet!
New Customers in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.
CLAIM OFFER
Bet $100 & Get $100 in Free Bets
T&C's apply 21+ VA only.
Join WynnBet
⚡️ $1,000 Risk-Free Bet on ANY Sport!
Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, KS, LA, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY.
CLAIM OFFER
Get our experts' latest picks and free bets straight to your inbox!
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.7.10 (1)