This is just the perfect matchup for Hield to knock down some 3s for us as in home games where he plays 26 or more minutes he has hit this in 23/30 games which is just an insane mark & Houston gives up the #1 most 3 point attempts in the NBA as well as the #4 highest 3 point percentage which lets you know they are giving up some easy looks. Houston is allowing the #1 most 3 point makes to shooting guards - compared to avg l30d (+1.44) this is just an insane amount they have been allowing and they do not have any plus perimeter defenders so they just get cooked on the perimeter now especially with Sengun in drop coverage.
The Rockets are #29 in defensive rating they just haven't been playing defense & we are getting a high VOL 3 point shooter who has easily been clearing this line @ home against the worst 3 point shooting preventing defense in the NBA so this is just a perfect matchup for him. Both teams are top 14 in Pace so we should see a ton of possessions in this one there is some blowout concerns but its the NBA really any game can be a blowout this spot is just too good to pass up on. Some SG's performances against them recently have been: Bridges 4-10 from 3, Devin 2-8 from 3, Graham 7-12, Bane 6-9, Murray 5-10, Dame 13-22. We see this team is just GIVING up 3s like its nothing expecting that to stay that way when they play tonight this matchup is just too good for Buddy. The Houston Rockets allow the #1 most "Above the Break 3's" which is where Hield attempts 80% of his 3s from "Above the Break" so we can just see how good of a matchup this is for him just need him to hit some shots & we will be good.
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This line is just too low for the matchup. Tre has only hit this over once in his last 4 games, but this is THE BEST matchup he could draw and has hit in 5 of 8 since joining the H...