Capper Penguin's NBA Friday Player Prop Pick - 1/20

Trae Young is hosting his 2021 playoff rival at home after the Knicks blew out the Hawks last game in Madison Square Garden. If you go back to that series, a big reason why the Hawks won (IMO) was because Mitchell Robinson wasn't in the picture. His defense and presence bring a very underrated factor to this Knicks defense. This can be seen in their overall defensive rankings as the Knicks allow a top ten least amount of points to Center and THE LEAST rebounds to Center. Unfortunately for the Knicks, Mitchell is out this evening and Trae averaged over this line in that playoff series.

Luckily, Trae Young plays differently with different players on the floor and he got a key piece back to his offense recently. In his last 5 games with Clint Capela, Trae Young has hit this line at an 80% clip and is averaging 12.6 assists per game (mainly to the big man). Then combine Capela's return with Bogdon being healthy and Dejounte Murray is playing out of his mind with 3 straight 27+ point games. He averages over 17 potential assists per game with that number getting a big uptick when everyone is healthy.

Give me Trae to cover 10+ assists as he has options and his main one is going against a backup Center.