First of all, there's been one game this year and one game last year vs the Rockets where he didn't get the PR, but got the A so if you want to take the Triple Double instead for the price I'm totally good with that.
Nikola smashed this line last game vs the Rockets with 15 and has hit this 2 of 3 games vs them this year (15 was @ home). 2 of the 3 games have been without Jamal Murray and he'll be getting him back tonight (the game he played was when he had 15). The offense still runs through Jokic, but now we have Jamal as an option for potential assists. This is way better than Reggie Jackson and whoever else he's been passing to. He's covered in 2 straight since Jamal returned from injury and last 6 of 8 at home with him overall. He should secure 10+ for us tonight.