Capper Penguin's NBA Prop Pick: Heat @ Nuggets - 2/29

There's a reason why this line already moved on some books. The Denver Nuggets are a prime matchup for Bam Adebayo since they allow the 6th most points and 7th most assists to Centers. He cashed his over 18.5 P in 8 straight games vs. them, but that was mainly in the playoffs when he was getting more minutes. This season, he's covered in the last 6 of 7 games and has been passing the ball well. He's averaging 4.1 assists per game on the season and should ultimately kill in the pick and roll game vs. Jokic who likes to drop back more than hedge. So Bam should KILL in the mid range.