@RyanPropz Tigers @ Pirates K Prop Pick - 6/7

Get Nick's latest picks straight to your inbox! 💰🏈
SUBSCRIBE TODAY
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

Ryan Dolan | @ryanpropz

Detroit Tigers (21-33) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (24-28)

If you go a few years back on Detroit's prospect lists, you’ll see Casey Mize and Matt Manning at the top for pitching prospects in their system. If you scrolled down a bit, you would eventually come across the name, Skubal. He really broke out in the 2019 season and sky  rocketed up their ranks. Now in 2022, Skubal looks to be the best pitcher Detroit has. I like this spot for him to continue his wonderful start to the year.

Skubal is currently top 10 in the league in ERA as well as 11th in WHIP. He has elite control (90th percentile in BB%) which allows him to work deep into games. He has pitched 6 or more innings in 5 of his last 6 starts, and pitched 7 innings in 3 of them including back to back starts. He pounds the strike zone, which should bode well vs this Pirates team who likes to keep the bat on their shoulder, more on that later. Skubal averages 1.05 K per inning this season. He currently sits in the 75th percentile in K%, 50th percentile in whiff rate, and 67th percentile in chase rate. He has a 27% K rate for the season thanks to a nasty 5 pitch arsenal. One of the craziest stats I have come across this season, he has thrown his change up 124 times this season and all 124 have been to right handed batters. He has a terrific 46% whiff rate on that pitch and could see as many as 6 right handers tonight in the Pirates lineup.

The Pirates season long numbers may not indicate this being a very strong spot, however over the last 30 days the Pirates have really struggled vs lefties. They have the 3rd worst K% at 24.9% vs southpaws. As I mentioned, the Pirates just hardly swing the bat. They swing at the 4th least amount of first pitches, and are deadlast in swing% this season. They just go up there and hang out with the catcher and ump for a few minutes. I think that will work to Skubal’s advantage due to his elite control. He should be able to stay ahead on these Pirates batters and wipe them out with his breaking balls. I like him for 6+ K tonight. 

Ryan's K Prop

fanduel

TARIK SKUBAL OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS @ -118

⚡️ $1,000 No Sweat First Bet 💰
CLAIM OFFER
New users in AZ, CT, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WY, WV.

Free Bets & Offers


💰 Bet $10 on any NFL game & Win $200 when a TD is scored! 🏈
Exclusively to IL, KS & LA only
JOIN HERE!
⚡️ Get a $1,250 Risk-Free Bet!
New Customers in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.
CLAIM OFFER
Bet $100 & Get $100 in Free Bets
T&C's apply 21+ VA only.
Join WynnBet
⚡️ $1,000 Risk-Free Bet on ANY Sport!
Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, KS, LA, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY.
CLAIM OFFER
Get our experts' latest picks and free bets straight to your inbox!
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.7.10 (1)