Availabe on Barstool Sportsbook, BetRivers and SugarHouse
Florida needs this game like a fish needs water! I see 3 keys to victory:
Good news: The law of averages supports #1. Florida converts ~22% of PPOs this year but failed to convert on 8 straight? Am I crazy to think they’re due? Bad news: #2 might be a lost cause, and #3 isn’t a quick fix.
These 3 concepts point to value in the Power Play Prop, and it’s 4-1 in their last 5 meetings…
Will it hit every game? Probably not, but at +110 odds… I’ll roll the dice every time! (risk 1U to win 1.1U).
Odds widely available
8 of the last 9 Panthers/Leafs meetings had 7+ total goals. Tonight’s scoring outlook is equally bright (oddsmakers set the game total to o/u 7).
High scoring games pair well with assist props, and Rielly’s arguably the best value for the price in that category. Betting him to record an assist is a perfect 10-0 in his last 10 H2H vs. Florida.
He’s averaging 23.5 minutes of ice time vs. the Panthers in the last 2 seasons. That’s nearly half the game. He’s playing a little less in 5v5 since trade deadline but remains a staple on Toronto’s 1st Power Play Unit. I’m optimistic about Toronto’s Power Play tonight, which makes Rielly a good option to record a point… and 90% of his points are coming via assist this season. If he fails to get a Power Play Assist, he could easily split the difference in 5v5, too.
The Leafs’ blue line combined for 3 assists vs. the Panthers just 9 days ago. Rielly missed that game. Now he’s back, and I’m willing to bet he joins the party! (1U for me)
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Nothin' like a mid week small slate on the ice. Let's take two favorites and package them into a +120 double up spot, shall we? Startin' on the East coast with the Rangers they are...