It’s a brisk 39 degrees in Boston! Not the best hitting weather in theory — but the data supports it! In the last 5 seasons, Fenway Park games with <= 45 degree temps averaged 10.9 total runs with a median value of 12.5! That’s pretty good. It means 50% of the time, there were 13+ runs.
Both offenses project decently. Starting pitching does not (Kluber and Gibson rank bottom 6 on today’s pitching slate). Oddsmakers tagged this matchup with the highest game total on the slate (o/u 9) for a reason, and I want action on it!
With that all said, here’s where I landed!
Best odds Barstool Sportsbook & BetRivers; playable down to +100
Fresh off a fantastic rookie year — the Orioles’ catcher cruised through spring training and is the ultimate breakout candidate!
What really differentiates Rutschman is his ability to get on base. Dude’s a MACHINE in that department. Hits. Walks. Doesn’t matter. Kid does it all. Also hits for power.
His on-base potential + optimal lineup position (batting 2nd in front of Anthony Santander, Ryan Mountcastle and Gunnar Henderson) make him a strong bet to record runs this year starting today!
High-risk stuff, sprinkle responsibly!
Adley Rutschman to score 1+ Run (+123)
Gunnar Henderson 1+ RBI (+205)
Alex Verdugo 1+ Run (+117)
Justin Turner 1+ RBI (+170)
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4th time is the charm for these two?! Ketel remains absolutely automatic and is 1 for 3 vs Eovaldi. His back is against the wall and expecting him to come up clutch and get a hit i...