How is this -115? Those questions might be better left unasked. Other books have this closer to -140. I'll take -115 at FanDuel!
The Yankees’ slugger and MLB Home Run leader just smashed his 45th dinger of the season -- a 412 foot double-deck moonshot -- to give him 15 in his last 23 games. He blew past this 2+ Total Bases (TB) prop line in 16 of those 23 (69.6%) games.
With that in mind, it’s not hard to like his chances to stay hot tonight vs. a rival team and starting pitcher he historically crushes. In 33 career Plate Appearances vs. Nathan Eovaldi, Judge tallied 11 hits (0.344 BA), 2 doubles and a home run (0.500 SLG). What's scary about those stats is how according to MLB Statcast -- they should be even better. His 0.344 Batting Average vs. Eovaldi, for example, compares to 0.413 expected Batting Average, which factors in quality of contact.
Judge also recorded 2+ TB in 5 of his last 9 visits to Fenway Park. It won't cash every time (obviously) but for the odds, I'll take my chances at -115!
Note: I also bet this prop straight to win 1 unit.