The Tigers are coming off three straight wins, but they were at home vs. a weaker Baltimore Orioles team. Today, they hit the road for a 3-game series in Tampa Bay.
Despite those W’s, Detroit’s offense is limping along, scoring just 2.86 runs per game (dead last in MLB), which drops to 2.08 on the road (by far the worst in MLB). That makes them a fine target for No Run First Inning (NRFI) bets.
Through 35 games, they’ve been held scoreless in the first inning 32 times (91.4% of their games). The 3 times they did score a 1st inning run came in the first 2 weeks of the season. Since then, they’ve been held scoreless in 22 straight as shown below.
Will the Tigers eventually score a 1st inning run on the road? Absolutely. That’s a fact. I’m just not convinced it will happen tonight against Corey Kluber, who has a 19-3 (86.4%) No Run First Inning (NRFI) record since 2020.
Kluber’s coming off a bad start, but it was vs. a much tougher Los Angeles Angels lineup on the road. Now back home against the Tigers, I trust Kluber to hold it down for us as Leg 1.