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John Bollman's Bet of the Day - 8/16

San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins

​The Miami Marlins face off against the San Diego Padres in the second game of this three game series in Miami.  The Padres had to travel cross country for this road trip and are now in Miami after playing in Washington.  They head back home on Wednesday to play the Nationals at home when their road trip is finished.  The Padres ran into Sandy Alcantara last night, so it is very understandable why they were shutout.  That’s actually their third time being shutout in the last eight games, and we might see more of the same while Edward Cabrera is starting.  He has been very good and hasn’t allowed a run in either of his last two starts but he doesn’t get deep into games, and that should pose a problem for the Marlins.​

As we know, the Padres just pulled off probably the biggest trade of all time in getting Juan Soto and Josh Bell from the Nationals, however they are just 5-7 since acquiring those players.  They also acquired Brandon Drury and Josh Hader at the trade deadline, but these new players haven’t seemed to make much of an impact yet.  We know they will pay off in the long run, but the immediate returns haven’t been there.​

Sean Manaea has honestly been terrible lately, however he will take on the worst team in the league in wOBA against lefties since the All-Star break and all season.  He also pitched a quality start against them earlier this season.  The Marlins haven’t scored more than 3 runs in 14 straight games now, even after a 3-0 win last night.  Edward Cabrera has been dominant lately, but he doesn’t get deep into games as I mentioned, and that means plenty of Marlins bullpen.  The Marlins bullpen is in terrible shape though with their closer, Tanner Scott, throwing more than 30 pitches in three of the last four nights.  They also had their setup man, Steven Okert, pitch on four of the last five days.  The Marlins likely will only have Dylan Floro and Richard Bleier available at the back end and that would be a problem if Cabrera doesn’t go seven innings.  The Marlins are also 2-10 at home since the All-Star break.  As long as the Padres are able to keep this game close, they should be able to win it in the bullpens.  Take the Padres on the road.

Pick: Padres -155 vs. Marlins