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@KeepTheJuice21 Home Run Parlay & Spread Pick - 8/5

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Philies

Run it back! Last night’s game was called after 5 innings due to rain and most major sportsbooks (including Draft Kings who we recommended) returned your money as a push regardless of the bet. That said, going late into the game we were feeling pretty confident in the hard-hitting Phillies. Syndergaard wasn’t on his top game, but the lineup did their job and going into each team’s bullpen I would’ve been shocked to see the Phillies not gain another run.

So what’s different today? Kyle Gibson is a downgrade from Syndergaard, and you can blame that for the spread difference (-120 to -105). But he’s consistent and you know what you’re getting, 4 to 7 hits and 6 innings, maybe 5 Ks. On the other hand, Josiah Gray is more of a spark plug; he throws hard and is hit hard. The Phillies have no shortage of power hitters and will take Gray over the fence a few times. He’s also had a tough stretch in July, giving up 20 earned runs over 26.2 innings.

Ultimately if you think the Phillies can hit like they did last night, this bet should be a no brainer. Gibson is a downgrade but the bullpen is solid and they should have plenty of room for error.

Juice Spread Pick: Phillies -1.5 | -105 at FanDuel

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Home Run Parlay

Did I already say run it back? Schwarber is the man on the Phillies roster and the fact that his home run odds got longer today vs yesterday is all I need to hear. Josiah Gray is currently leading the league in home runs surrendered, with an impressive 24 on the season. His average exit velocity and hard hit rate are well above average, as is his fastball velocity – not a coincidence. Until the young pitcher can gain some better control, he’s a machine for giving up home runs.

Aaron Judge gets all the shine in New York; its well deserved but it’s taken a little away from a career season from Anthony Rizzo. Rizzo has 27 home runs on track to smash his single season record of 32. Is it the short porch? Maybe. The natural lefty takes the ball to right field often but his average HR distance is well enough to get over the right field wall in St Louis at 335 feet. He’s gone yard in 4 of his last 5 games, all away from home. The man is hot and we’re riding.

Juice Home Run Parlay: Schwarber / Rizzo |+1781at FanDuel