@FastMoneyLabs' Best Bets - 5/5

Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville Predators

If you follow me on Twitter, you might be familiar with this Power Play prop. It cashed in the first 5 minutes of Game 1, and we took it to the bank at +160. Here’s why I’m going back to it at +140.

Nashville led the league in penalty minutes. You’d think they’d tighten up for playoffs, but it didn’t happen. At least in Game 1. They gifted Colorado 5 Power Plays, of which they converted 2 for goals.

Obviously the Preds will do their very best to avoid the box tonight, but it won’t be easy. That’s because this Avalanche team is known to draw lots of penalties vs. really any opponent thanks to their blistering speed. From Nashville’s perspective, it’s a pick your poison kind of thing. Either let them get odd man rushes and score in 5v5, or take a penalty and test your luck on the Penalty Kill.

Assuming the Avs will get at least 3-4 Power Play Opportunities again tonight, I like Cale Makar to contribute a Power Play Point (PPP), which could cash via a goal or assist while a man up.

Makar is effectively the ‘quarterback’ of Colorado’s lethal 1st Power Play unit. He stands up top by the blue line with the goal of finding open shooters for one-timers. His ability to zip tape to tape passes to prolific scorers like Mikko Rantanen and Nathan MacKinnon leads to plenty of assist opportunities. Makar also has the ability to score goals himself as we saw the other night.

This bet cashed in all 4 of Makar’s games vs. Nashville this year (reg. season + playoffs), and while it won’t cash every time, I like his chances of running it back at home tonight in Game 2.

From a bet size & risk management perspective — I recommend splitting your bets between the Power Play Point and his standard Assist prop as follows:

  • Risk 0.5 Units (i.e., half your normal bet size) on Cale Makar over 0.5 Power Play Points (+140)
  • Bet to win 0.5-1 unit on Cale Makar over 0.5 Assists (-115)

Doing it this way ensures we still have a chance to cash if Nashville is uncharacteristically disciplined tonight.

I’m comfortable with having 1.5 units of exposure to Cale Makar tonight, so I risked 0.5u on the Power Play Prop (+140) and bet to win 1 unit on the Assist (-115) (odds via Caesars at time of writing)

$FML Pick

caesars

CALE MAKAR OVER 0.5 POWER PLAY POINTS @ +140

$FML Pick

caesars

CALE MAKAR OVER 0.5 ASSISTS @ -115

Get Up To $1,250 on Caesars in Virginia
CLAIM NOW
New users in VA. 21+

Free Bets & Offers


Virginia: Bet $1 on Anything & Get $200 Guaranteed
Deposit required. Bonus Bets winnings are added to Bonus Bets balance. Bonus Bet wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. CO, NJ, OH & VA only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. 21+
CLAIM NOW
Virginia: Bet $20, Win $200 in Free Bets
Promo Code: GET100. New users in VA. 21+.
CLAIM NOW
Bet $5, Get $200 Instantly in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
CLAIM NOW
$1,000 in Bonus Bets on any Sport in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
CLAIM NOW
Get up to $100 in Bonus Bets
21+ Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Claim Now
⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
State Selector
Virginia
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2023 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.8.6 (1)