Last time Cole faced Detroit, it was disastrous. The date was April 19th, 2022. I wrote an entire article talking him up. And how did he reward us? He walked 5, allowed 2 runs, and failed to make it out of the 2nd inning. Apparently, that embarrassment triggered an epic turnaround. Since then, Cole:
- Posted a quality start in 6 of 7 appearances.
- Struck out 8+ batters in 5 of those 7 appearances.
- Earned 4 pitching wins, 2 no decisions and only 1 loss.
- Maintained an impressive 0.95 WHIP.
Sadly for Tigers fans, the opposite is true for Detroit. Since beating Cole on April 19th, they have the:
- 2nd lowest Slugging % vs. RHPs
- 2nd lowest Weighted On Base Average (wOBA) vs. RHPs
- 2nd lowest Weighted Runs Created+ (wRC+) vs. RHPs
- 7th highest Strikeout % vs. RHPs
Even with that terrible start on April 19th, Cole has a 31.4% lifetime K rate against this Tigers’ roster. The Yankees are 7-3 when Gerrit Cole starts and 7-2 in their last 9 overall. The Tigers are also 7-2 in their last 9, which sounds good… but there’s a catch. The wins all came at home vs. Divisional opponents. Against Non-Divisional opponents (like the Yankees), they’re just 10-19 (34.5%) this year. And on the road, they’re just 6-15 (28.6%). It’s not the Gerrit Cole Redemption Game we wanted – but dammit – It’s the one we deserve the April 19th fiasco. It would be ironic if he melts down again and busts our parlay on Leg 1. Until then, I rest my case: I’m backing #45 with confidence tonight.