Capper Penguin's Monday NBA Pick: Bucks @ Pistons - 3/27

This one may be a little scary to some considering he ended with 14 points last game and would've probably covered if Casey didn't bench him for the fourth quarter.

He has been playing well and is the reason why I believe he's getting such a high line. However, he will be up against a really tough Milwaukee squad who has only been allowing the 5th most points to the PF position. The Bucks are projected to win by a high 13 points and let's be honest we would rather be on the under side of Dwane Casey's unpredictability.

Not to mention when Jalen Duren is healthy, Bagley has only covered this line ONCE in his last EIGHTEEN games with him in the lineup.

And I'm supposed to believe the 2nd will be vs the Bucks? I don't think so.