Capper Penguin's NBA Friday Pick: Heat @ Bucks - 2/24

Capper Penguin HATES Brook Lopez.

Alright, he doesn't necessarily hate the man but for tonight's NBA pick we'll pretend that he does - check it out below!

This is obviously a juicy play so I want to start off by saying that I'm good with under 6.5 rebounds as well for plus money, but I'm good with risking the extra juice on 7.5. The important piece here is that Bobby Portis is back in the lineup with Khris Middleton. In Brook's last 6 straight games with Bobby, he averaged 3.83 rebounds and covered the under 6.5 in all of them. Sure, Giannis was in the lineup in the last one where Brook grabbed 4 rebounds, but he did not play in the other 5. Furthermore, two of those five games were against the Heat where brook only grabbed 4 and 3 rebounds not even coming close to this line.

I bet he doesn't come close again.