This is always a great bet with Jokic at home, but Centers have been doing their thing against the Bulls. Lively had 19 R+A and Duren 20 RA and they don’t pass the ball nearly as much. Jokic has had a great uptick in potential passes at home at 17.7 potential a game (average 13). Rebounds too, he’s had an uptick at home with an insane 23.7 rebound chances.
He’s covered this line in 17 of 19 regular season games at home and he should get 18 here.