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Capper Penguin's NBA Saturday Pick - 10/29

De'Aaron Fox's point line is extremely tempting to take, but I'm betting on his assists instead and let me tell you why.

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De'Aaron Fox vs Miami Heat

He's hit his over in points only once in his last nine games vs the Heat, but has hit his assists line in his last five straight vs Miami averaging 7.6 assists per game. In the Heat's last 4 games this line was covered by point guards in three of four of them. VanVleet had 9 and 10 in two and Steph just had 9 against them last game WHILE dropping in 33 points. De'Aaron Fox has been scoring a ton this year, but he's also had a decent amount of assists as well. He's averaging 5.75 APG, but his potential assists are through the roof. He's ranked 8th highest in potential assists with 14.5 PAPG, but is the only one in the top TWENTY averaging less than 6 APG. The next guy who's averaging that small of a number is Tre Jones at 21 . Everyone else in the top ten is averaging 7-11 APG and once the Kings' shots start falling this low 5.5 line we are seeing today will jump to 6.5 or 7.5 easily.

Give me De'Aaron Fox for 6 or more assists for the 6th time in a row vs the Heat as the Kings will finally convert on Fox's strong playmaking abilities.

- Best line on DK or MGM.

Capper Penguin's Pick 🐧

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De'Aaron Fox (SAC) over 5.5 assists @ -125
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