@FastMoneyLabs' Stanley Cup +162 Same Game Parlay

Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning (8PM ET)

Call me crazy guys, but I’m still confident in my Bolts series pick. All the pressure is on the Avalanche at this point. Last year, they blew a 2-0 series lead to Vegas by losing 4 straight playoff games. Who’s to say it can’t happen again vs. the 2x defending champs?

Just in case I’m wrong and this is the last hockey game we can bet till October, I absolutely need to get the last laugh against FanDuel on these Shots on Goal (SOG) parlays. They’ve been killing me, but I’m fired up and eager for revenge. Here’s what I’m rolling with to make it happen.

Leg 1: Victor Hedman SOG

Betting Victor Hedman to get 3+ SOG is 14-8 (63.6%) in the playoffs. Isolating home games, the hit rate improves to 70% in the playoffs and 81.25% in his last 16.

Colorado doesn’t block many shots, which is allowing Victor Hedman to thrive in the matchup since he shoots from further away as a defenseman. Betting Victor Hedman to get 3+ SOG vs. the Avalanche is now 4-1 (80%) in the Finals and 5-2 (71.4%) including regular season.

Also supporting this pick is Hedman’s projected ice time. He tends to play 25+ minutes in closeout scenarios, which is a lot. He’s also attempting tons of shots in those minutes, posting 9+ attempts in 3 straight games. Some books increased his betting line to 3.5 today. I’ll take 3+ as Leg 1.

Leg 1: Victor Hedman 3+ Shots on Goal (-156)

Leg 2: Nazem Kadri SOG

Kadri’s coming off thumb surgery, but it was on his right hand. As a left-handed shooter, it’s affecting his performance less than one might think.

In his 1st game back, he attempted 5 shots and scored the dagger – a game winning overtime goal in Tampa Bay’s building. He followed that with a 7 SOG performance at home in Game 5. He attempted 9 shots that night in just 15.6 minutes of ice time. I find that attempts per minute calculation mouthwatering, because there’s a good chance Kadri will get more ice time tonight. That’s because Avalanche forward Valeri Nichushkin is listed as questionable to play with a right-leg injury. Even if he suits up, Kadri should see more minutes as a function of being in better game shape now.

Excluding the game Kadri got hurt, his 3+ shots prop is just 3-3 in road playoff games this year. Certainly not ideal, but I’m buying the matchup vs. Tampa. Kadri finished with 4+ shots in 3 of 4 games vs. them this year. Tonight, we only need 3+. It’s also worth noting his only miss vs. TBL was by the hook in the game he returned from surgery.

Leg 2: Nazem Kadri 3+ Shots on Goal (-166)

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The Slip

I got +162 odds on this 2-Leg Parlay at FanDuel Sportsbook and sized my bet to win 1 unit (risk 0.62 units)! Parlaying bets carries an extra element of risk, so please bet responsibly guys and best of luck!

$FML

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