Fade Cade time.
Listen, I know he is over this line in three straight games, including a 35-point performance over the weekend. But, there are a few things going against Cade here. For starters, this matchup with Jrue Holiday and Jevon Carter is tough for anyone. The Bucks are currently allowing the fewest PPG and the fewer FG % in the league. This could be more of an issue for Cade he is a 44% shooter, who needs a lot of volume to reach this number. The volume has been there in his last 3 games, as he is seeing 20 FGA a game.
However, in four matchups with MIL last year Cade scored 6, 9, 19, and 14 points averaging 14.3 FGA per game. This is just a tough matchup for him. It’s also a tough matchup for the team, in a back-to-back needing to travel to MIL. Last night Cade played 39 minutes. So, the potential to see fewer minutes in a -13 spread game is definitely there. In Cade’s career, he is u21.5 points in 36/41 games where he sees 35 or less minutes. Lastly, he averages 16.1 PPG on the road compared to 19.4 PPG at home. Given all that and my projection of 18.9 points, I am taking this under tonight.
